Non-sovereign currency issuers are powerless to counter-act pro-cyclical exogenously induced austerity measures.
The Friedman/Keynes false dichotomy is dead. Power, survival, and pecking orders are the issue here.
Threats of a general strike in Spain intensified this weekend
following Friday's decision by the credit agency Fitch Ratings to
downgrade the country's debt from AAA to AA+.
The latest blow to Europe's fourth-biggest economy comes just days
after a series of austerity measures scraped through the Spanish
parliament by a margin of a single vote. Designed to rein in a deficit
behind Ireland and Greece in the eurozone, the measures to passed
thanks only to a series of abstentions.
Any feelings of optimism following the ultra-close vote were quickly
dented by the bleak statement from Fitch on Friday.
But Spain's deficit is far from being its only economic headache:
unemployment, for example, stands at over 20 per cent, double the 2007
level.
Social unease at the austerity measures, which includes a freeze on
pensions, is also on the rise.
Spain's two largest trade unions have threatened a public-sector
strike next week over the austerity measures, due to cut €15bn off the
Spanish budget, which would see a 5 per cent cut in civil service pay.
Fitch's head of Europe, Brian Coulton, said: "The process of
adjustment to a lower level of private-sector and external
indebtedness will materially reduce the rate of growth of the Spanish
economy over the medium term," he said
It could hardly have been a more cheerless message for a country that
has only just limped out of its worst recession in 50 years with a
growth rate of 0.1 per cent in the first quarter of this year.
Fitch's downgrading also comes barely a month after Standard & Poor's
had cut its own rating for Spain to AA, with only Moody's retaining an
AAA rating for the country.
Spaniards are now bracing themselves for a VAT rise of 2 per cent next
month, while the government has warned that growth will slow in 2011,
from 1.8 per cent to 1.3 per cent because of the austerity programme.
Saturday, May 29, 2010
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