Saturday, December 19, 2009

The Angular Momentum of History

Philosophical meandering today...and some warnings.

We live in interesting times. For over 60 years the
(developed) world has accepted a limited spectrum of
Governmental power. It is my belief we will see a
regression to more simplistic forms of "legitimacy".

The main issue remains the distribution of power and
What behavior is incentivized by a given form of
Legitimacy. Democracy assigns power to those with
Influence in the rule making process. Totalitarian
states equate power with violence, Monarchy with
Divine edict or genealogy, Communism to party members.

Typically, some sort of appeal to "progress" is cited
by all forms of legitimacy, further ensconcing the status
Quo. Unfortunately, the progress of technology has not
Been matched by a corresponding change in the appetites
and proclivities of man.

But if History has shown us anything, it is the fleeting
Nature of top-down or macro forms of legitimacy.
Geopolitical risk has been conspicuously absent, and
The mean reversion of a prolific balkanization is now
more than just scenario planning fantasy.

Power is not a physical commodity, but certainly has a
pricing system unique to itself. How people choose to
Be governed determines the market for power.

There are many anecdotes one could site. However, the
Important point to note is top down control has never
Worked in the known history of man. I think its
impossible...and the rulers who attempt to fix
Problems thusly are doomed to fail and a waiting angry
public will assign blame accordingly.

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